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A place for friends to gather and view stock market charts, discuss technical analysis and market outlook. What is your Principal Asset? How can it be developed? Each and all should do their own due dilligence and homework before investing. And by no means should you use anything I say or show here as a sole basis to buy or sell securities as everything is for educational experience only.

Saturday, April 18, 2009

As Axl Rose said, "Where do we go from here"?

If we look at the continued anemic volume of this Bull rally one could reasonably believe the upside here is limited. That's not withstanding the possibility of a higher BLOWOFF top than Friday's action.
So I started thinking about "TYPICAL" actions and possible levels going forward....
What better way than looking at previous "BOTTOMS" and there subsequent moves than with Elliot Wave theory. Note that I removed the 1932-1933 numbers because they skewed the averages with moves of 40%-50%.

By taking the averages it could look something like the chart below:

There is only one problem with this.....
Take a look at the percentage move off the current bottom....31.3% in relation to the other First moves....
Nonetheless nothing ever goes straight up or straight down........




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