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A place for friends to gather and view stock market charts, discuss technical analysis and market outlook. What is your Principal Asset? How can it be developed? Each and all should do their own due dilligence and homework before investing. And by no means should you use anything I say or show here as a sole basis to buy or sell securities as everything is for educational experience only.

Friday, October 14, 2011


Bear pennant still intact. 122.87

Wednesday, October 12, 2011


Bear pennant STILL intact and isn't it amazing how the fibonacci level was almost pegged. Bottom line is this is a toping tail and price action closed BELOW the trendline.

Just in case cover Puts above 122.87 by evening out with CALLS on a shorter time frame with the mindset of a quick trade.

Tuesday, October 11, 2011

By Robert Schroeder, MarketWatc
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — Ratcheting up pressure against a major U.S. trading partner, the Senate on Tuesday approved a bill that would allow new duties on goods from China and other countries that lawmakers say manipulate their currencies.
Overriding objections from some senators and business groups that said the measure would start a trade war with Beijing, the Senate voted 63 to 35 for the bill on Tuesday night.
Action on the measure may stop there, however. House Republican leaders and President Barack Obama have been cool to the bill — a bipartisan measure that its sponsors say would help bring down the 9.1% U.S. unemployment rate.
The bill instructs the Commerce Department to investigate if any country is subsidizing companies through an artificially low currency, and allows for retaliatory U.S. tariffs.
But the main focus of the bill is China, which lawmakers and the White House long have accused of manipulating the value of its currency, the yuan USDCNY -0.01% , for export advantage.
The Treasury Department has not formally named China a currency manipulator, though, and the Senate bill seeks to act where the administration has not.
China is gradually allowing the value of its currency to rise. Late last month, the People’s Bank of China set the yuan’s midpoint trading range against the U.S. dollar at a new record high of 6.3735.
It’s unlikely that the House will pass the Senate bill as written, but it’s “clearly possible” that the House could pass its own version later, according to Alec Phillips of Goldman Sachs.
“The most likely scenario is that at some point over the next few months, the House will take up a different bill to address the currency issue, but one that does so in a more incremental manner than the Senate’s approach,” Phillips wrote in a note this week.
U.S. manufacturers and the bill’s sponsors say it will stem a decline in American jobs by making U.S. products cheaper overseas.
Obama, meanwhile, readily says that China intervenes in currency markets but also says that any measure targeting China must be consistent with world trade rules. The White House hasn’t yet issued an official policy statement about the bill
This is me talking:
"U.S. manufacturers and the bill’s sponsors say it will stem a decline in American jobs by making U.S. products cheaper overseas.

WTF? A DECLINE?  in American jobs by making products "Cheaper" overseas?  Really, I thought if you make a quality product and are the low cost provider itwould DRIVE DEMAND not lessen it. 
What representative sponsoring this Bill said it would create a decline in American jobs?  That is a representative I will not vote for.  Perhaps they got confused and meant to say it would stem a decline in the American unemployment rate to export more goods as the low cost provider to countries who are UNFAIRLY inflate their currency?

Folks, bottom line is this is the beginning of the end when you start poking your biggest creditor and saying, "Hey, dude your money is too expensive".  Laughable!


Test of the $161.61 level.
This is merely a test of the top of the inverted pennant. Notice the gap up from 159.56 was not quickly filled.

Patience with the calls.

Stop below the green trendline.

SPY - Patience for the Put-ters

AA - misses consenus.

"There's a bigger decline in price so far in the 4th Quarter and seasonally it's worse" as reported by Reuters on Aluminum prices.

The actual numbers are almost double for the same quarter from last year and they site "fear" of Europe driving the lack of demand impacting auto, industrial, construction, & packaging industries as most aversely affected. Whereas aerospace & transportation sectors have shown demand and growth.

After hours quote is below $9.63.

I always watch Alcoa's earnigs as they kick of the earnings reporting and Aluminum is widely used acoss industries.

It will be interesting to see f this begins the next leg down.

Monday, October 10, 2011

DPM - ?

Who are these guys?

DCP Midstream Partners, LP is a midstream master limited partnership formed by DCP Midstream, LLC to own, operate, and continue to broaden our portfolio of complementary midstream assets.  The Partnership gathers, treats, processes, transports, and markets natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGLs) and is a leading wholesale distributor of propane.   Supported by our relationship with DCP Midstream, LLC,  and its parents, Spectra Energy and ConocoPhillips, our geographically diverse assets, with strong market positions, and our mix of fee-based and substantially hedged commodity-based margins, position the Partnership for the long term.

Who cares? Well their dividend payout ratio ranks extremely high for a $2.53 per annum dividend or 6.50% yield..

Worth checking out...


Messy....but if Europe bailout drove market up; what drove Gold up wth it? Very fishy.

Bottom line is the Bear flag on the SPY is STILL intact and the Bear flag on GLD was broken today.

ie, Long GLD and short SPY


Puts triggered....

Sunday, October 9, 2011

GLD 10 day

Anatomy of a long trade.

Stop = 158.19

GLD 60 day