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A place for friends to gather and view stock market charts, discuss technical analysis and market outlook. What is your Principal Asset? How can it be developed? Each and all should do their own due dilligence and homework before investing. And by no means should you use anything I say or show here as a sole basis to buy or sell securities as everything is for educational experience only.

Friday, March 5, 2010

Stockpickers competition update







The colors tell the story Green is good and Red is bad.  Bruno is behind by over 10% total after two months, but it is still early and this market is definintiely bi-polar.

$SPX


This is why you are hearing so much about 1150 on the S&P. Here's a thought: the market has expended alot of energy to get back to this level, can you say "Double Top"

A good trade setup would be to use 1150 to get short with a stop just above at 1154.


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$INDU





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BAC





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AZO





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GS


Up but not out...


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GLD





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Thursday, March 4, 2010

GS


Big up move or last hope? NOT bullish yet. Wait for break of the triangle.


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Wednesday, March 3, 2010

GLD





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NFLX


Check out the bounce off of fibonacci frsistance on Netflix...

ca-ching


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SIRI





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$SPX





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Monday, March 1, 2010

SIRI


NIbbling again


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$SPX


With an hour left to the trading day the S&P has broken out of the latest traingle. One would expect little resistance to the 1128 level; however, there is a struggle to breech the 1115.

I'm waiting for a bounce play to the down side above 1120.


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GS


Goldman is "climbing the wall of worry" as it traces along the 50 week Simple Moving Average.

This pretty much sums up most stocks as they are in between and stuck in ranges. Patience is the key and if you have the ability to put on some condor options trades time decay is your friend.


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Thursday, February 25, 2010

GLD


Gold up today on rumour China will buy remaining IMF gold reserves. Up but downtrend not broken.


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SIRI


Sirius - XM beat the street reporting earnings this morning and incresed their forecast projections for the remainder of the year. In pre-market trading the stock is virtually unchanged at $1.10.

Look for a "shakeout" move on selling the news. This may be the opportunity to add to your long position.

Remember a break of $1 and all long bets are off.

As I'm posting this the market opened and you are seeing the daily range as of 9:35 am.


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(GLD/MO)


Here's an update on the GLD/MO trading pairs chart on a 5yr weekly. I find it interesting that a long term flag is forming and the pair is near a bottom inflection point of 5.21.

This chart is definitely showing the effect of the US dollar on GLD and the dividend yielding equity Altria. The recent rise in the greenback is shown as gold and GLD have pulled back and MO has risen and also shows there is a little more room in this direction. Perhaps the $83.00 target on the dollar will become a reality.

I plan on poring back my GLD short and begin looking for entry points to switch to long and possibly get short on MO as the dollar rise tops out.


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F


Ford breaking out of bull flag.

Long above 11.65


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Wednesday, February 24, 2010

HD


Home depot reported earnings and beat the street expectations. But the more interesting news is they RAISED their dividend again. So here is an all time monthly chart showing the beginning of a breakout. I'm buying here below $30 for long term hold.


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Tuesday, February 23, 2010

VZ


Short

Stop above 29.30



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SIRI


Bull Flag - Long above $1.07

Longer term term holders may want to put a stop at $0.99 to protect profits.


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Friday, February 19, 2010

UDN


Bear flag on dollar down about to break


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UUP





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EUR/USD


Room to fall meaning rise in USD $$$$$$


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$SPX


Optiions expiry.....Lookout


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Wednesday, February 17, 2010

Why you play breakouts....


GRAN 50% on day rise


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SIRI


Oh well :-)


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Monday, February 15, 2010

GLD





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Thursday, February 11, 2010

$SPX


Up to 1090 tomorrow and the week is merely an inside week butting up against FALLING moving averages...

Bearish until 1105 is taken out to the upside and then still have resistance at 1121.


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$VIX


Long the VIX
Stop - 23.83


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GLD


Scaling out of long and looking to enter short in stages:

107.35
108.10
108.35

The thinking is that the affliction to the 200 hour moving average is too much of a coincidence to the gap fill of 108.43. This sets up an excellent short trade with a stop above 108.50.


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GNK


Long for the long term hold with leaps
Stop - 17.94


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Wednesday, February 10, 2010

AZO


Short
Stop 161.35


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SIRI Bull Flag


Long
Stop $0.79


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$SPX - long term Fib Fan


Monthly chart with a Fibonacci fan line shows the downtrend and the importance of the current level. Take into consideration the monthly average and it's pretty easy to explain the markets oscilations of late and the increased volatility.

I see a short trade setup with a stop of 1105 or the monthly high.

A long setup using a small position size with the stop being just below the 200 SMA 1034. This is a bounce play and profits should be taken quickly.




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Tuesday, February 9, 2010

EUR/USD


All the talk on the Euro is the only thing proping the dollar up. It is not that America is stronger, but everyone else is getting weaker especially Europe. Somehow I find it comical that the US dollar will be viewed as a "safe" vehicle and I do not expect this sentiment to last. Look for precious metals to bounce and use your due dilligence on finding entry points on GLD and SLV on ascending trendlines.


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SLV


Long SLV
stop 14.35

GRAN


Wait for it....


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X


Nibbling, stop just below trendline

Monday, February 8, 2010

GLD





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BAC


Not long yet...


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$SPX


Be careful...


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MO





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Saturday, February 6, 2010

SIRI





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MO 1hr





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MO weekly





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GS





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GLD


Shorting GLD above 105 with stop just over bottom green trendline or 106.35


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BAC


Not bullish


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