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A place for friends to gather and view stock market charts, discuss technical analysis and market outlook. What is your Principal Asset? How can it be developed? Each and all should do their own due dilligence and homework before investing. And by no means should you use anything I say or show here as a sole basis to buy or sell securities as everything is for educational experience only.

Thursday, February 25, 2010

F


Ford breaking out of bull flag.

Long above 11.65


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Wednesday, February 24, 2010

HD


Home depot reported earnings and beat the street expectations. But the more interesting news is they RAISED their dividend again. So here is an all time monthly chart showing the beginning of a breakout. I'm buying here below $30 for long term hold.


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Tuesday, February 23, 2010

VZ


Short

Stop above 29.30



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SIRI


Bull Flag - Long above $1.07

Longer term term holders may want to put a stop at $0.99 to protect profits.


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Friday, February 19, 2010

UDN


Bear flag on dollar down about to break


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UUP





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EUR/USD


Room to fall meaning rise in USD $$$$$$


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$SPX


Optiions expiry.....Lookout


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Wednesday, February 17, 2010

Why you play breakouts....


GRAN 50% on day rise


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SIRI


Oh well :-)


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Monday, February 15, 2010

GLD





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Thursday, February 11, 2010

$SPX


Up to 1090 tomorrow and the week is merely an inside week butting up against FALLING moving averages...

Bearish until 1105 is taken out to the upside and then still have resistance at 1121.


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$VIX


Long the VIX
Stop - 23.83


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GLD


Scaling out of long and looking to enter short in stages:

107.35
108.10
108.35

The thinking is that the affliction to the 200 hour moving average is too much of a coincidence to the gap fill of 108.43. This sets up an excellent short trade with a stop above 108.50.


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GNK


Long for the long term hold with leaps
Stop - 17.94


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Wednesday, February 10, 2010

AZO


Short
Stop 161.35


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SIRI Bull Flag


Long
Stop $0.79


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$SPX - long term Fib Fan


Monthly chart with a Fibonacci fan line shows the downtrend and the importance of the current level. Take into consideration the monthly average and it's pretty easy to explain the markets oscilations of late and the increased volatility.

I see a short trade setup with a stop of 1105 or the monthly high.

A long setup using a small position size with the stop being just below the 200 SMA 1034. This is a bounce play and profits should be taken quickly.




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Tuesday, February 9, 2010

EUR/USD


All the talk on the Euro is the only thing proping the dollar up. It is not that America is stronger, but everyone else is getting weaker especially Europe. Somehow I find it comical that the US dollar will be viewed as a "safe" vehicle and I do not expect this sentiment to last. Look for precious metals to bounce and use your due dilligence on finding entry points on GLD and SLV on ascending trendlines.


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SLV


Long SLV
stop 14.35

GRAN


Wait for it....


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X


Nibbling, stop just below trendline

Monday, February 8, 2010

GLD





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BAC


Not long yet...


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$SPX


Be careful...


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MO





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Saturday, February 6, 2010

SIRI





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MO 1hr





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MO weekly





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GS





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GLD


Shorting GLD above 105 with stop just over bottom green trendline or 106.35


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BAC


Not bullish


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$SPX





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DIA





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Friday, February 5, 2010

EUR/USD long term





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EUR/USD


EURO losing 38.2% Fib means the dollar to $83


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Thursday, February 4, 2010

$INDU





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$SPX


Wait for it, wait for it, wait for it, and the PANIC begins....


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MO Breakdown





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BAC


Perhaps a bounce play on BAC off the 200 day SMA @ $14.75. A very tight stop just below the $14.60 and switching the trade to short as the descending triangle would have broken to the downside.


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CSCO


CSCO reported and blew out earnings after the close yesterday. The modus operandi for reporting tech companies has been to sell the news even if it is good. The latest after hours quote has CSCO opening up to $23.86 or still below the 20 & 50 day moving averages as well as below the 50% Fib retracement of the 3 year high and March low.

It appears to me to be another "Crazy Ivan" setup back to upard resistance around $24. Looking to get short above $24 as the excuberance wains in the morning with a stop set at the recent highs of $25.10


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Wednesday, February 3, 2010

SIRI


Hope you took profits at $0.95


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GLD


Breakdown or breakout?

Notice how the gap down from 110.50 has yet to fill.


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MO


Head & Shoulders top on MO 1hr chart. A break of 19.68 could mean a downward stairstep move to $18.60. However, if 19.68 holds this H&S pattern is nothing but a beautiful bull flag on a longer term time frame.

Short with stop of 19.85
Long with stop of 19.63

One will be right with a full point move.


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Tuesday, February 2, 2010

MO


Last chance to sell around $20 for awhile.

Short with stop of 20.20




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CRAZY IVAN


S&P doing it's best impression of the Tom Clancy novel "Hunt For Red October"

Selling into strength as moving averages come down and getting short with stop above 1120


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CAT - 60 day - 1hr

CAT


Shadow trader free trial has a short trade on CAT setting up. I thought I'd take a look and zoom in a bit. It definitely looks like a bearish descending triangle setup between the two fibonacci lines:
52.94 - 53.67 (entry)
48.44 (target)
46.80 (second tier target)
above gap fill 54.65 (stop)

Monday, February 1, 2010

AMZN


Shorting AMZN above 119


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Sunday, January 31, 2010

(GLD/MO) Update


Two words:

Consolodation

Stagnation


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