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A place for friends to gather and view stock market charts, discuss technical analysis and market outlook. What is your Principal Asset? How can it be developed? Each and all should do their own due dilligence and homework before investing. And by no means should you use anything I say or show here as a sole basis to buy or sell securities as everything is for educational experience only.

Tuesday, January 12, 2010

GS


Close to losing uptrend to 200 daily MA


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2010 Picks to date




$VIX


Long 1/4 VIX


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Monday, January 11, 2010

AA





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Friday, January 8, 2010

GLD/MO)


Currently there is a downward weekly trend which began in early 2009 in the GLD/MO ratio meaning MO is increasing in price and GLD is decreasing relative to eachother. The last two weeks have seen a reversal of this trend coincidentally at the midpoint of the range indicating some consolodation. Based on this chart I would expect GLD to rise and MO to fall in price over the next quarter until this ratio reaches the top of the range or 6. This would relate to a April GLD price of $120 and a MO price of $20 or GLD topping out at 110 and MO consolodating to 18.50.

Either way for the next quarter you could pair trade as long GLD and short MO on May contracts and reverse the trade as the ratio reaches 6 getting long MO and short GLD. This should be fun to track as the FED begins reigning in the monetary policy punch bowl and the Dollar sways investments in commodoties and dividned yielding stocks.


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GLD MO & S&P 500


And here is a 5 year daily percentage view of GLD, MO, & the S&P 500 which shows how far GLD has run up compariatively.


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(GLD/MO)


Very interesting chart of the relationship of GLD and MO over the last 5 years. By dividing MO price into GLD price we see that there is a definitive correalation to the two equities which are both affected by the US dollar trade. It is however curious how the channels and the fibonacci's of a such a ratio could provide trade trigger points. In this relationship the higher GLD and the lower MO is the higher the graph point and conversely the lower GLD is and the higher MO is the lower the graph point.


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Wednesday, January 6, 2010

Monday, January 4, 2010

Sunday, January 3, 2010

2009 StockPicker results... (that's 2 of 3 for me)

A good old fashioned BUTT whooping kinda like Florida against Cincinatti and Alabama against Texas:







Almost 20% (bahaha....)


IWM





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QQQQ





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$SPX


Break-down or break-out next week?


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GLD


Gold in mid-range, but looks vey weak above 109. A break of the 105.71 would be extremely bearish.


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GLD


Gold in mid-range, but looks vey weak above 109. A break of the 105.71 would be extremely bearish.


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MO - hourly





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GS





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Tuesday, December 29, 2009

$SPX


As Bugs Bunny once said, "Be very Careful"


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Wednesday, December 23, 2009

MO


MO resisistance levels as the dollar rises and the inverse H&S pattern plays out. By the way an Inverse H&S is VERY BULLISH!


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Tuesday, December 15, 2009

BAC


Downward slope may not end til mid $13


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Wednesday, December 9, 2009

$SPX





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Tuesday, December 8, 2009

AZO





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GLD





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AAPL


Shorting AAPL above $205 paying look for profit taking on the shorts here and a possible bounce off of $185. However, a failure to hold $185 could be a very promising short entry.


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Monday, December 7, 2009

$SPX



Shorting using Leap Puts in thirds at the following levels:

1120

1180

1228

Friday, December 4, 2009

GLD


Longer time frame...


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GLD


Gold break of breakout trend on dollar rise off of better unemployment numbers. REALLY....


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$TNX


All time 10 yr note


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TLT


20 year treasury holding trend barely but still bullish until broken


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UUP


Dollar Up on 2 year lows


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UDN


Dollar down still holding trend


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$SPX





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$INDU





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Tuesday, December 1, 2009

MO


Beware the H&S on the one hour chart of Altria. A break below 18.70 could be another buying opportunity in the mid 17's.


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IWM





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Friday, November 27, 2009

MO





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SPY





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DIA


Possible targets as the Dubai news may take the wind from the bull run sail for now.


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GS


HUGE inverted H&S with a close stop. Long into December...


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Thursday, November 19, 2009

VIX





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Tuesday, November 17, 2009

GLD





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Monday, November 16, 2009

$INDU





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Sunday, November 15, 2009

INDU





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$SPX





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